$$ w=\cfrac{\sum_{i=1}^{m}y_i(xi-\bar{x})}{\sum{i=1}^{m}xi^2-\cfrac{1}{m}(\sum{i=1}^{m}x_i)^2} $$
令式(3.5)等于0: $$ 0 = w\sum_{i=1}^{m}xi^2-\sum{i=1}^{m}(y_i-b)xi $$ $$ w\sum{i=1}^{m}xi^2 = \sum{i=1}^{m}y_ixi-\sum{i=1}^{m}bxi $$ 由于令式(3.6)等于0可得$ b=\cfrac{1}{m}\sum{i=1}^{m}(y_i-wxi) $,又$ \cfrac{1}{m}\sum{i=1}^{m}yi=\bar{y} $,$ \cfrac{1}{m}\sum{i=1}^{m}x_i=\bar{x} $,则$ b=\bar{y}-w\bar{x} $,代入上式可得: $$ \begin{aligned}
w\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i^2 & = \sum_{i=1}^{m}y_ix_i-\sum_{i=1}^{m}(\bar{y}-w\bar{x})x_i \\\\
w\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i^2 & = \sum_{i=1}^{m}y_ix_i-\bar{y}\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i+w\bar{x}\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i \\\\
w(\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i^2-\bar{x}\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i) & = \sum_{i=1}^{m}y_ix_i-\bar{y}\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i \\\\
w & = \cfrac{\sum_{i=1}^{m}y_ix_i-\bar{y}\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i}{\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i^2-\bar{x}\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i}
\end{aligned} $$ 又$ \bar{y}\sum_{i=1}^{m}xi=\cfrac{1}{m}\sum{i=1}^{m}yi\sum{i=1}^{m}xi=\bar{x}\sum{i=1}^{m}yi $,$ \bar{x}\sum{i=1}^{m}xi=\cfrac{1}{m}\sum{i=1}^{m}xi\sum{i=1}^{m}xi=\cfrac{1}{m}(\sum{i=1}^{m}xi)^2 $,代入上式即可得式(3.7): $$ w=\cfrac{\sum{i=1}^{m}y_i(xi-\bar{x})}{\sum{i=1}^{m}xi^2-\cfrac{1}{m}(\sum{i=1}^{m}x_i)^2} $$
【注】:式(3.7)还可以进一步化简为能用向量表达的形式,将$ \cfrac{1}{m}(\sum_{i=1}^{m}xi)^2=\bar{x}\sum{i=1}^{m}x_i $代入分母可得: $$ \begin{aligned}
w & = \cfrac{\sum_{i=1}^{m}y_i(x_i-\bar{x})}{\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i^2-\bar{x}\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_i} \\\\
& = \cfrac{\sum_{i=1}^{m}(y_ix_i-y_i\bar{x})}{\sum_{i=1}^{m}(x_i^2-x_i\bar{x})}
\end{aligned} $$ 又$ \bar{y}\sum_{i=1}^{m}xi=\bar{x}\sum{i=1}^{m}yi=\sum{i=1}^{m}\bar{y}xi=\sum{i=1}^{m}\bar{x}yi=m\bar{x}\bar{y}=\sum{i=1}^{m}\bar{x}\bar{y} $,则上式可化为: $$ \begin{aligned}
w & = \cfrac{\sum_{i=1}^{m}(y_ix_i-y_i\bar{x}-x_i\bar{y}+\bar{x}\bar{y})}{\sum_{i=1}^{m}(x_i^2-x_i\bar{x}-x_i\bar{x}+\bar{x}^2)} \\\\
& = \cfrac{\sum_{i=1}^{m}(x_i-\bar{x})(y_i-\bar{y})}{\sum_{i=1}^{m}(x_i-\bar{x})^2}
\end{aligned} $$ 若令$ \mathbf{X}=(x_1,x_2,...,xm) $,$ \mathbf{X}{demean} $为去均值后的$ \mathbf{X} $,$ \mathbf{y}=(y_1,y_2,...,ym) $,$ \mathbf{y}{demean} $为去均值后的$ \mathbf{y} $,其中$ \mathbf{X} $、$ \mathbf{X}{demean} $、$ \mathbf{y} $、$ \mathbf{y}{demean} $均为m行1列的列向量,代入上式可得: $$ w=\cfrac{\mathbf{X}{demean}\mathbf{y}{demean}^T}{\mathbf{X}{demean}\mathbf{X}{demean}^T}$$